North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #8
Brownsburg Regional Rank #3
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 18.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 81.1%
Advance to State Finals 99.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/14
Team Rating 218 238 190 197 218 219 778
Team Adjusted Rating 238 190 197 218 219 218
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational
42  Kelsey Rehmel 11 19:12 19:40 19:31 19:09 18:59 19:11 18:57
43  Kaelina Matthews 12 19:14 19:15 19:06 19:12 19:20 19:14 19:01
68  Elizabeth Rocchio 11 19:28 18:42 19:49 19:28 18:56 19:17 19:54
105  Aislinn Biesecker 9 19:45 19:21 19:27 20:00 20:18 19:40
158  Valerie Fernhaber 10 20:13 20:28 20:32 19:55 19:58 20:10 20:13
166  Ruby Brown 10 20:14 20:49 20:41 19:54 20:06 20:00 20:14
346  Isabel Tipmore 12 21:01 20:43 20:40 21:11 20:52 21:19
370  Isabella Ewer 9 21:10 21:20 21:08 21:03 21:02
455  Tatum Houle 11 21:26 21:15 21:46 21:21 21:40 21:06
563  Adrienne Spacey 9 21:43 22:03 22:00 20:39 21:40 21:43
657  Betty Gebreananya 10 21:59 20:46 22:01 22:05 21:59
670  Charlotte Mallon 11 22:01 21:56 22:40 22:02 21:43 21:47
684  Eleanor Kirchhoff 9 22:03 22:51 21:32 21:53 22:40 21:23
696  Clara Smith 10 22:05 20:10 22:31 21:42 22:25
697  Megan Smith 9 22:05 21:39 22:01 22:51 22:01
702  Marlee Scott 10 22:05 23:49 21:53 21:31 22:30 21:55
719  Stella Sermersheim 9 22:09 22:15 22:46 22:04 21:50 21:55
795  Elle Bryant 12 22:23 22:22 22:45 22:24 22:16 21:47
912  Talia Ingemi 11 22:41 23:29 22:09 21:53 22:57 22:57
1,003  Lucy Phillips 10 22:54 24:07 23:01 22:36 23:12 22:04
1,016  Annabell Jameson 9 22:56 22:54 22:41 23:07 22:53
1,027  Julia Eynon 11 22:58 22:31 23:09 22:47 23:04
1,260  Lainey Deetz 12 23:29 22:39 23:40 23:58 22:32 23:49
Adelaide Hensley 10 25:07 24:01 25:28 27:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 99.1% 8.1 263 0.1 1.5 3.0 5.4 8.3 11.4 14.0 14.2 12.8 10.5 6.9 4.4 2.8 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.4 99 0.3 18.1 37.7 34.6 8.4 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.6 64 0.7 50.7 34.0 14.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 47.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Kaelina Matthews 100% 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Elizabeth Rocchio 100% 71.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Aislinn Biesecker 99.9% 102.0 0.0 91.5% 99.7%
Valerie Fernhaber 99.2% 151.0 12.8% 82.7%
Ruby Brown 99.1% 153.7 4.3% 80.0%
Isabel Tipmore 99.1% 214.4 0.0% 2.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 100% 11.4 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.0 5.0 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.5 7.4 6.6 5.1 4.5 3.8 3.0 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Kaelina Matthews 100% 11.9 0.0 0.7 1.7 2.3 4.2 5.0 6.3 7.3 8.0 8.0 6.9 7.9 7.3 6.8 5.3 4.3 4.7 3.3 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 100.0%
Elizabeth Rocchio 100% 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.7 5.2 5.1 6.0 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.3 6.4 6.5 5.6 4.8 4.0 3.3 100.0%
Aislinn Biesecker 100% 23.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.4 2.2 2.5 3.0 4.4 5.7 5.7 6.8 7.5 7.8 8.4 100.0%
Valerie Fernhaber 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 100.0%
Ruby Brown 100% 34.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 100.0%
Isabel Tipmore 100% 60.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Rehmel 7.7 1.2 3.3 5.7 8.3 10.3 12.1 13.4 12.2 9.9 9.1 6.5 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kaelina Matthews 8.1 1.2 2.7 4.4 7.7 9.3 10.9 12.8 11.8 11.8 9.8 7.7 4.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Elizabeth Rocchio 11.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.4 5.7 8.6 10.3 11.7 12.9 13.9 10.6 7.8 5.5 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Aislinn Biesecker 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.4 5.8 8.9 12.8 14.3 15.3 13.1 10.1 5.5 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Valerie Fernhaber 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 4.7 9.0 12.7 14.4 16.0 15.0 9.9 5.7 3.1
Ruby Brown 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 5.2 8.0 11.4 13.6 16.1 16.0 10.1 6.7 4.6
Isabel Tipmore 28.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 2.8 5.0